The International Energy Agency is forecasting the largest oil supply surplus on record. Hedge funds are record short. Energy ETF assets have collapsed 30% in a year. And yet, despite all that, global crude inventories have fallen by 10 million barrels this year. If we’re supposedly drowning in oil, why is supply tightening? The math doesn’t work. When consensus gets this confident and this wrong, that’s where opportunity hides.

In every cycle, markets develop blind spots. The louder the hype around a handful of winners, the more investors start mistaking noise for insight. Today, the US mega caps have become the market’s gravitational field—pulling capital, headlines, and attention into a narrow corner of the global opportunity set. But here’s the twist the narrative ignores: The most compelling sources of outperformance right now are happening outside the spotlight—quietly, consistently, and almost entirely unnoticed. This isn’t an opinion. It’s math.

In today’s social media-fueled, tech-obsessed world, attention is currency. The same stories get amplified over and over, often about a handful of mega-cap names driving US stock market headlines. But when the spotlight gets too bright in one corner, it tends to leave the rest of the stage in the dark.

Investors today have more tools, data, and advice than ever before—yet most still struggle to keep up with market returns. The problem isn’t a lack of information; it’s the challenge of making decisions at the right time. That’s why we’ve created a domain-trained AI agent that helps close this “behavior gap” once and for all.

When optimism is high and growth appears inevitable, investors are more likely to fall into what’s known as a growth trap—a scenario where expectations are so elevated that even great companies underdeliver relative to their share price. These traps can last years, even decades.

Lost in the noise of trade disputes, military conflicts, and economic uncertainty is one inescapable fact: global debt has exploded—from $40 trillion in 1997 to more than $350 trillion today.

Confusion has become a feature of U.S. policy direction. The Trump administration’s mixed messages on trade and Federal Reserve policy no longer surprise markets—but they do sow deep uncertainty.

Back in 1990, I conducted a qualitative “backtest” to identify patterns that preceded strong periods for value stocks. The signals were clear: headlines were dominated by fears of a recession, global crises, credit crunches, monetary policy uncertainty, rising bankruptcies, and a narrow group of growth stocks outperforming everything else.

Bigger isn’t always better—especially when market leadership starts to crack. In first quarter, the so-called Mag 7 mega-cap stocks posted their worst underperformance on record, dropping nearly 16%.

The United States’ sweeping tariffs—levied on virtually every nation, inhabited or not—have thrown the global economy into disarray.